Treasury
3-MO 3.86% -1bp 6-MO 3.95% -1bp 1-YR 4.01% -3bp 2-YR 4.17% -7bp 3-YR 4.25% -6bp 5-YR 4.35% -6bp 7-YR 4.48% -7bp 10-YR 4.64% -6bp 20-YR 5.16% -5bp 30-YR 5.17% -6bp 3-MO 3.86% -1bp 6-MO 3.95% -1bp 1-YR 4.01% -3bp 2-YR 4.17% -7bp 3-YR 4.25% -6bp 5-YR 4.35% -6bp 7-YR 4.48% -7bp 10-YR 4.64% -6bp 20-YR 5.16% -5bp 30-YR 5.17% -6bp 3-MO 3.86% -1bp 6-MO 3.95% -1bp 1-YR 4.01% -3bp 2-YR 4.17% -7bp 3-YR 4.25% -6bp 5-YR 4.35% -6bp 7-YR 4.48% -7bp 10-YR 4.64% -6bp 20-YR 5.16% -5bp 30-YR 5.17% -6bp 3-MO 3.86% -1bp 6-MO 3.95% -1bp 1-YR 4.01% -3bp 2-YR 4.17% -7bp 3-YR 4.25% -6bp 5-YR 4.35% -6bp 7-YR 4.48% -7bp 10-YR 4.64% -6bp 20-YR 5.16% -5bp 30-YR 5.17% -6bp 3-MO 3.86% -1bp 6-MO 3.95% -1bp 1-YR 4.01% -3bp 2-YR 4.17% -7bp 3-YR 4.25% -6bp 5-YR 4.35% -6bp 7-YR 4.48% -7bp 10-YR 4.64% -6bp 20-YR 5.16% -5bp 30-YR 5.17% -6bp 3-MO 3.86% -1bp 6-MO 3.95% -1bp 1-YR 4.01% -3bp 2-YR 4.17% -7bp 3-YR 4.25% -6bp 5-YR 4.35% -6bp 7-YR 4.48% -7bp 10-YR 4.64% -6bp 20-YR 5.16% -5bp 30-YR 5.17% -6bp
US Treasury par yield curve · Aug 25 · Source: U.S. Treasury
Wednesday, August 26, 2026
U.S. Edition
Analysis

Ninety days, then seven months

A corporate gifts executive who itemised a customer service hire to the dollar, a pool repair owner who budgeted 55,000 dollars and spent closer to 75,000, and an agency chief who now assumes every new hire costs a senior person a day a week for a quarter.

In short

Across these three accounts the first year cost of a hire ran between about 27 and 42 percent above the budgeted salary, and the overrun the contributors name is not a purchase. It is the working time of somebody already employed: six hours a week of a senior salesperson for four months, a day a week of a chief executive for ten weeks, several hours a week of an experienced technician for two months.

A man leans on a desk watching a colleague work at a laptop in an office. Stock photo
Stock photo. Not the actual scene. Photo: Kampus Production / Pexels

Ask an employer what a hire cost and you get a number. Ask when the person started producing at the level they were hired for and you get a different kind of answer, one with a correction in it.

Money & World asked business owners, founders, operations and finance managers and freelancers to price one specific hire against the salary they had budgeted, and to say how long it took before that person was producing at the level they were hired for. Ten people answered. Three answered from their own books rather than in general terms, and they were hiring three unrelated things: a customer service representative at a corporate gifts company, a field technician at a swimming pool repair business, and a search specialist at a Moroccan marketing agency.

Two of the three budgeted ninety days. Both report seven months.

The itemised version

Answer: Vincent Nero says he budgeted 48,000 dollars for a customer service representative and that the first year cost closer to 68,000 dollars, that none of the gap was a surprise expense, and that the ramp he budgeted at ninety days ran closer to seven months.

Vincent Nero is vice president and general manager of Successories. His answer is the only one in this pool that itemises, and the itemisation is the argument.

"I budgeted $48,000 for a customer service rep. The first year cost us closer to $68,000, and none of that gap was a surprise expense. It was all things I knew about and never added up."

The list that follows is unremarkable until the end of it.

"Payroll taxes and benefits ran about $10,600. Recruiting was $600 in job board spend, which is the cheap part, plus roughly fifteen hours between me and a supervisor screening forty-some applicants. Equipment, a laptop, two monitors and a headset, was about $1,900. Software seats for the order system, the phone system and our proofing tools came to about $210 a month, so $2,500 for the year."

Add those and you have about 15,600 dollars against a 20,000 dollar gap. The rest is not bought from anybody.

"The expensive line is the one that never generates an invoice. Our best rep gave up about six hours a week for the first four months to supervise. Fully loaded that is around $4,000 of her time, but the real cost is that those were her selling hours, and she is the person who saves the accounts nobody else can. On top of that, the new rep's first three weeks produced nothing at all, which is roughly $2,800 of salary against zero output. Nobody budgets that line, and it is real money."

Two things are being priced there and only one of them is the new employee. The 2,800 dollars is the hire producing nothing. The 4,000 dollars is somebody else not doing her job, and Nero is careful to say that the 4,000 dollar figure understates it, because the hours were the ones his most effective salesperson would otherwise have spent selling.

Then the ramp, and the reason he gives for missing it.

"I budgeted ninety days. It was closer to seven months. What I got wrong was treating ramp as a training problem. We sell personalized and engraved product, so a rep has to learn engraving rules, what makes a logo file usable, how a proof gets approved, and what production timelines actually hold. Until somebody has worked one holiday season in this business, they have not seen the job. Which points at the real mistake: I hired in September. She hit peak season with eight weeks of experience, and that was unfair to her and to the customers."

The same shape, at a different scale, in a different trade

Answer: Ran Neuman says he budgeted roughly 55,000 dollars in annual salary for a field technician and that the real first year cost was closer to 70,000 to 75,000 dollars, and that the cost he most underestimated was the time senior people spent checking the work.

Ran Neuman owns Spear Pool Equipment & Repair. His overrun is proportionally the smallest of the three, at roughly 27 to 36 percent, and his list of purchases is the longest.

"For one field technician we hired, I budgeted roughly $55,000 in annual salary, but the real first-year cost was closer to $70,000-$75,000 once I accounted for the expenses around the hire. Beyond payroll, we had tools and safety equipment, a company vehicle allocation, insurance, training, administrative setup, and several software subscriptions, but the cost I initially underestimated most was the time senior people spent supervising and checking the work."

The specific form that took is worth reading next to Nero's.

"I've had situations where an experienced technician lost several hours a week for the first couple of months because he was riding along, reviewing repairs, and making sure the new hire met our standards."

A pool technician riding along in a van and a salesperson checking order proofs are not the same job, and the accounting is identical: a productive person is removed from production for a period nobody wrote down. Neuman then puts a number on the ramp, and it is the number he uses now rather than the one he used to use.

"I also learned that 'qualified' does not mean someone will immediately produce at the level you hired them for. For a technician who already has solid pool-industry experience, I now expect roughly three to six months before they can consistently handle jobs independently at the quality and pace we need; earlier in my career, I assumed it would take only a few weeks."

And the mechanism, stated plainly enough that it could be a budgeting instruction.

"The biggest budgeting mistake is treating onboarding time as if both employees are fully productive, because during that period you are effectively paying for the new hire while also giving up part of a senior employee's productive capacity."

Six weeks estimated, five months spent, and a diagnosis

Answer: RHILLANE Ayoub says he budgeted six weeks to full productivity for a mid-level search specialist and that the reality was closer to five months, that he reviewed every deliverable for the first ten weeks, and that he had estimated the ramp against the wrong thing.

RHILLANE Ayoub is chief executive of RHILLANE Marketing Digital. He answered the second question rather than the first, and his account is the one that names why the estimate failed.

"We hired a mid-level SEO specialist for our Morocco team and I budgeted six weeks to full productivity. Reality was closer to five months."

The cost he reports is again a second person, and this time it is the most expensive one available.

"What actually cost us was my own time. For the first ten weeks I reviewed every deliverable before it reached a client, which is roughly a day a week of the most expensive hour in the company. Then the rework. Client-ready output in this business is not a skill you hire, it is a standard you transfer, and transferring it means sending the same brief back three or four times. Add software seats that get paid from day one and produce nothing for two months."

Then the diagnosis, which arrives at the same place as Nero's by a different route.

"The specific thing I got wrong: I estimated ramp against the technical skill, which was real and verifiable in the interview. The five months had nothing to do with SEO knowledge. They were about judgment on client context, and nobody can demonstrate that in a test."

Nero said the same thing about engraving rules and proof approvals and a holiday season. Both of them hired against the part of the job an interview can examine, and both found that the part it cannot examine is the part that takes months. What Ayoub did about it is the only structural change any of the three describe making.

"We now assume a new hire costs a senior person one day a week for the first quarter, and we plan capacity around that number instead of pretending it is free. It made hiring feel more expensive on paper and much less painful in practice."

What the official number counts

There is an authoritative American answer to the question these three were asked, and it is published quarterly.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on 12 June 2026 that employer costs for employee compensation for civilian workers averaged 49.32 dollars per hour worked in March 2026, of which wages and salaries were 33.72 dollars and benefit costs 15.60 dollars. For private industry workers the total was 46.60 dollars, with wages and salaries at 32.60 dollars, accounting for 69.9 percent of employer costs, and benefits at 14.01 dollars, accounting for the remaining 30.1 percent.

Thirty point one percent is the number that circulates as the cost of an employee beyond salary, and it is a real measurement of a real thing. The question is what thing. The release's technical note answers it without ambiguity.

"Total benefit costs consist of five major categories and include 18 benefits: Paid leave - vacation, holiday, sick, and personal leave; Supplemental pay - overtime and premium, shift differentials, and nonproduction bonuses; Insurance - life, health, short-term disability, and long-term disability; Retirement and savings - defined benefit and defined contribution; and Legally required benefits - Social Security ... Medicare, federal and state unemployment insurance, and workers' compensation."

Eighteen benefits, and every one of them is money that reaches the employee or an insurer on the employee's behalf. There is no category for a recruiter, a laptop, a software seat, a training week, or the hours a supervisor spends. That is not an omission. The ECEC is a compensation survey, drawn from about 28,500 occupational observations in roughly 6,700 private establishments, and compensation is what it was built to measure. The figure is being asked to answer a question it was never asked.

Nero's overrun, at about 42 percent of budgeted salary, is a third larger than the official benefit share. Neuman's, at 27 to 36 percent, sits roughly on top of it. The difference between the two is legible in what each of them counted. Neuman listed purchases, mostly things that arrive with a price on them. Nero listed those and then added three weeks of a new employee producing nothing and four months of his best salesperson supervising instead of selling. The gap between the two figures is approximately the second person.

Why the second person never turns up in the accounts

There is a reason that cost is hard to see later, and it is not carelessness.

A business that spends four months of senior time bringing somebody up to standard has, in ordinary language, invested in an asset. The accounting standards refuse the description. IAS 38, in the text the European Union has endorsed, considers exactly this case and rules it out at paragraph 15.

"An entity may have a team of skilled staff and may be able to identify incremental staff skills leading to future economic benefits from training. The entity may also expect that the staff will continue to make their skills available to the entity. However, an entity usually has insufficient control over the expected future economic benefits arising from a team of skilled staff and from training for these items to meet the definition of an intangible asset."

Insufficient control. The employee can leave, and the standard will not let a business carry on its balance sheet something that can resign. Paragraph 69 then lists the expenditures that are recognised as an expense when they are incurred, and expenditure on training activities is item (b), sitting between start-up costs and advertising.

So the money goes out and the standard sends it straight to the income statement, undifferentiated, in the period it was spent. And that is only for the part that was spent at all. Ayoub's day a week and Nero's six hours a week were never spent in the sense of leaving the business. They were already inside the payroll, doing something else, and being moved. Nothing in any ledger records the move.

Where this is thin

Three accounts are three accounts. The figures are self-reported, appear in no public dataset, and describe businesses whose books nobody else has seen. Two of the three sized their overrun as a range rather than a total, and none of them has produced a reconciliation.

The comparison with the Bureau of Labor Statistics figure is not like for like, and it should not be read as one. The ECEC measures average compensation cost per hour worked across the private economy. What these three describe is a first year overrun against one budgeted salary for one hire. Setting 42 percent next to 30.1 percent shows what each measure contains, not that one contradicts the other.

IAS 38 in this form binds companies reporting under EU endorsed international standards. A corporate gifts company in the United States, a Los Angeles pool repair business and a Moroccan agency are not among them, and nothing here suggests otherwise. The standard is doing a different job in this piece. It shows that the formal system has already considered whether a trained workforce is an asset, decided that it is not, and given the reason: the business does not control it.

The question these three were asked was what the hire cost. All three answered it and then, unprompted and in three unrelated trades, moved the answer onto somebody else's timesheet.

Questions readers are asking

What is the true cost of an employee beyond salary?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics measure is 30.1 percent. For private industry workers in March 2026 it put total compensation at 46.60 dollars per hour worked, of which wages and salaries were 32.60 dollars and benefits 14.01 dollars. That measure counts eighteen benefits in five categories and none of them is recruitment, equipment, software, training or supervision, which is where the three employers quoted here say their own overruns came from.
How long does it take a new hire to become fully productive?
In this group it ran from three months to seven, against estimates of six weeks to ninety days. Vincent Nero budgeted ninety days for a customer service representative and reports seven months. RHILLANE Ayoub budgeted six weeks for a marketing specialist and reports five months. Ran Neuman says he now expects three to six months for a technician who already has industry experience, where earlier in his career he assumed a few weeks.
Why do employers underestimate ramp time for new hires?
Two of the three give the same reason. They estimated the ramp against the technical skill, which is the part an interview can test, and the months were consumed by company specific judgment, which it cannot. Ayoub says the delay had nothing to do with his hire's search knowledge and everything to do with judgment on client context. Nero says he treated ramp as a training problem when the job could not be seen until his representative had worked one holiday season.
What does supervising a new hire cost?
All three contributors name it as their largest unbudgeted cost. Nero estimates about six hours a week from his best representative for four months, roughly 4,000 dollars of her time, and says the real cost is that those were her selling hours. Ayoub estimates a day a week of his own time for ten weeks. Neuman estimates several hours a week from an experienced technician for the first two months. None of these hours generates an invoice.
Can a business capitalise the cost of training an employee?
Not under IAS 38. Paragraph 15 says an entity usually has insufficient control over the expected future economic benefits arising from a team of skilled staff and from training for these items to meet the definition of an intangible asset. Paragraph 69 lists expenditures recognised as an expense when incurred, and expenditure on training activities is at 69(b).
What does the Bureau of Labor Statistics count as an employer benefit cost?
The ECEC technical note says total benefit costs consist of five major categories and include eighteen benefits: paid leave, supplemental pay, insurance, retirement and savings, and legally required benefits. Legally required benefits are Social Security, Medicare, federal and state unemployment insurance, and workers compensation. From the December 2026 publication the ECEC will remove workers compensation costs.