Treasury
3-MO 3.83% -7bp 6-MO 3.97% -10bp 1-YR 4.04% -5bp 2-YR 4.22% -4bp 3-YR 4.29% -2bp 5-YR 4.37% +2bp 7-YR 4.51% +4bp 10-YR 4.67% +6bp 20-YR 5.21% +10bp 30-YR 5.20% +11bp 3-MO 3.83% -7bp 6-MO 3.97% -10bp 1-YR 4.04% -5bp 2-YR 4.22% -4bp 3-YR 4.29% -2bp 5-YR 4.37% +2bp 7-YR 4.51% +4bp 10-YR 4.67% +6bp 20-YR 5.21% +10bp 30-YR 5.20% +11bp 3-MO 3.83% -7bp 6-MO 3.97% -10bp 1-YR 4.04% -5bp 2-YR 4.22% -4bp 3-YR 4.29% -2bp 5-YR 4.37% +2bp 7-YR 4.51% +4bp 10-YR 4.67% +6bp 20-YR 5.21% +10bp 30-YR 5.20% +11bp 3-MO 3.83% -7bp 6-MO 3.97% -10bp 1-YR 4.04% -5bp 2-YR 4.22% -4bp 3-YR 4.29% -2bp 5-YR 4.37% +2bp 7-YR 4.51% +4bp 10-YR 4.67% +6bp 20-YR 5.21% +10bp 30-YR 5.20% +11bp 3-MO 3.83% -7bp 6-MO 3.97% -10bp 1-YR 4.04% -5bp 2-YR 4.22% -4bp 3-YR 4.29% -2bp 5-YR 4.37% +2bp 7-YR 4.51% +4bp 10-YR 4.67% +6bp 20-YR 5.21% +10bp 30-YR 5.20% +11bp 3-MO 3.83% -7bp 6-MO 3.97% -10bp 1-YR 4.04% -5bp 2-YR 4.22% -4bp 3-YR 4.29% -2bp 5-YR 4.37% +2bp 7-YR 4.51% +4bp 10-YR 4.67% +6bp 20-YR 5.21% +10bp 30-YR 5.20% +11bp
US Treasury par yield curve · Jul 29 · Source: U.S. Treasury
Thursday, July 30, 2026
U.S. Edition
Euro area

The euro area grew 0.4 percent after a flat first quarter, and the member state with the fastest quarter is the only one still shrinking on the year

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Photo: Kaboompics / Pexels

Zero, then 0.4 percent.

That is the euro area across two quarters, on the preliminary flash estimate Eurostat published on Thursday. Gross domestic product was flat in the first quarter of 2026 and rose 0.4 percent in the second, seasonally adjusted, against the previous quarter. Across the European Union the same two readings were 0.1 percent and 0.5 percent.

Measured against the second quarter of 2025 rather than against the first quarter of 2026, euro area output was 1.0 percent higher, after 0.5 percent in the previous quarter. The EU figure was 1.2 percent, after 0.8 percent.

The country column

Fifteen member states appear in the release table, and the spread across them is wider than the aggregate suggests.

Ireland recorded the highest quarterly rate, at 3.9 percent. Lithuania followed at 1.7 percent and Sweden at 1.4 percent. At the other end, Belgium and Austria each recorded 0.0 percent. Spain grew 0.7 percent, Portugal 0.8 percent and Finland 0.9 percent. The three largest economies in the table were bunched: Germany 0.2 percent, France 0.2 percent after a fall of 0.1 percent in the first quarter, Italy 0.2 percent.

Eurostat states that the year-on-year rate was positive for fourteen countries and negative for one. The table names it. Ireland is 5.6 percent lower than a year earlier, while posting the fastest quarter of any state in the release.

Why Ireland does both at once

The Irish quarterly line, read across, runs 1.3 percent, then minus 3.6 percent, then minus 7.0 percent, then 3.9 percent.

Eurostat attaches a footnote to that line and it is worth quoting the substance rather than paraphrasing it away. The Irish flash estimate is categorised as a Central Statistics Office Frontier Series Output, and particular care must be taken when interpreting it, because it may use new methods which are under development or data sources which may be incomplete.

What the estimate rests on

The release is built from the data of 19 member states, covering 96 percent of euro area GDP and 94 percent of EU GDP. It revises nothing behind it: Eurostat states plainly that earlier quarters are unchanged in this publication.

Everything in it may move. A second flash estimate for the same quarter arrives on 14 August 2026, and fuller estimates including employment follow on 7 September and 20 October.

The document: Eurostat, 'GDP up by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.5% in the EU', euro indicators news release 2-30072026-AP, 30 July 2026, Luxembourg. Preliminary flash estimate for the second quarter of 2026. Figures as stated in the release and its table: euro area GDP +0.4 percent and EU GDP +0.5 percent on the previous quarter, seasonally adjusted, after 0.0 percent in the euro area and +0.1 percent in the EU in the first quarter of 2026; year on year +1.0 percent in the euro area and +1.2 percent in the EU, after +0.5 percent and +0.8 percent respectively. Quarterly table read in full: euro area 2025Q3 +0.3, 2025Q4 +0.2, 2026Q1 0.0, 2026Q2 +0.4; EU +0.4, +0.2, +0.1, +0.5. Member state quarter on quarter for 2026Q2: Ireland +3.9, Lithuania +1.7, Sweden +1.4, Portugal +0.8, Spain +0.7, Finland +0.9, Czechia +0.4, Estonia +0.4, Hungary +0.4, Netherlands +0.4, Germany +0.2, France +0.2, Italy +0.2, Belgium 0.0, Austria 0.0. Year on year for 2026Q2: Ireland minus 5.6, all fourteen other listed states positive, the release stating the rate was positive for fourteen countries and negative for one. Irish quarterly series as printed: 2025Q3 +1.3, 2025Q4 minus 3.6, 2026Q1 minus 7.0, 2026Q2 +3.9. Release footnote three, verbatim in substance: the Irish GDP flash estimate is categorised as a CSO Frontier Series Output and particular care must be taken when interpreting the statistics as it may use new methods which are under development and/or data sources which may be incomplete. Coverage as stated: based on the data of 19 member states, covering 96 percent of euro area GDP and 94 percent of EU GDP. Release states that with this preliminary flash estimate, euro area and EU GDP figures for earlier quarters are not revised, and that figures may be revised with the t+45 flash estimate scheduled for 14 August 2026 and by regular estimates scheduled for 7 September 2026 and 20 October 2026. Source dataset namq_10_gdp. Next release 30 October 2026. Page and table extracted and read end to end 30 July 2026..